Bring on the headlines about the "Hot Spring Market"! Have you noticed how positive the Real Estate news is all of a sudden? The market statistics for February were just released and show another big increase over last year in terms of the number of single family homes and condos sold during the month.
How meaningful is that when we consider how slow February 2009 was for real estate? Last month there were 1,035 single family homes sold, which is up 25% from 2009 but still 17% below 2008's numbers. Price meanwhile has increased 10% from last year to a current average of $458,254 but this is still a few percent away from February 2008's average of $471,696.
The numbers for condos are similar, sales were up 56% from last year but are almost on par with 2008 levels. Prices increased 5.2% from last year to $282,880 and are still 9% below 2008 levels.
Overall Calgary Real Estate market absorption rate for February 2010I'm not mentioning any of these things to be negative, only to keep the recent flurry of activity in perspective with the recent talk of a housing bubble. The new mortgage rules that take effect in April might slow things down a little but will probably have a positive impact overall by making sure people don't purchase more expensive homes than they can actually afford when interest rates finally do rise. Most people I've been talking to are still favouring longer-term fixed rate mortgages anyway; the new rules which apply to qualification for variable rates wont effect those buyers at all.
I'm still feeling positive about the market, February was a busy month and continued to build on the strong momentum that we started the year with. The absorption rate, which tracks the amount of inventory available based on the number of buyers in the market is currently 3 months for single family homes and 3.3 months for condos, which is considered to be a "balanced market".
What do you think will happen with the market this year? Will interest rates be a major factor? Please share your thoughts in the comments below.